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Chapter 12 - Fiscal Policy


Chapter 12 Outline McConnell and Brue 14th Edition

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1. Fiscal policy is the manipulation by the Federal government of its expenditures and tax receipts in order to
expand or contract the economy; and by doing this manipulation the Federal government either increases
its real output (and employment) or decreases its rate of inflation.

2. The Employment Act of 1946 set the goals of fiscal policy in the United States and provided for a Council of Economic Advisers to the president and the Joint Economic Committee.
3. Discretionary fiscal policy involves changes in government spending or taxation by Congress which is designed to change the level of real GDP employment
incomes or the price level. Specific action needs to be taken by Congress to initiate this policy in contrast to nondiscretionary fiscal policy that occurs automatically (see item 4 below).
  • Expansionary fiscal policy is generally used to counteract the negative economic effects of a recession or cyclical downturn in the economy (a decline in real GDP and rising unemployment). The purpose of the policy is to stimulate the economy by increasing aggregate demand. Three policy options are used: an increase in government spending; a reduction in taxes (which increases consumer spending); or a combination of an increase in government spending and a tax reduction. These policy actions will create a budget deficit if the budget were in balance before the policy actions were taken. The stimulative effect on the economy from the initial increase in spending from the policy change will be increased by the multiplier effect.
  • Contractionary fiscal policy is a restrictive form of fiscal policy generally used to control demand-pull inflation. The purpose of this policy is to reduce aggregate demand pressures that increase the price level. Three policy options are used: a decrease in government spending; an increase in taxes (which reduces consumer spending); or a combination of a reduction in government spending and a tax increase. If the government budget is balanced before the policy actions are taken it will create a budget surplus. The contractionary effect on the economy from the initial reduction in spending from the policy actions will be reinforced by the multiplier effect.
  • In addition to the size of the deficit or surplus the manner in which government finances its deficit or disposes of its surplus affects the level of total spending in the economy.
    1. To finance a deficit the government can either borrow money from the public or issue new money to creditors with the latter action being more expansionary.
    2. Budget surpluses may be used for debt reduction or the funds may be impounded with the latter action being more contractionary.
  • Whether government purchases or taxes should be altered to reduce recession and inflation depends to a large extent on whether an expansion or a contraction of the public sector is desired.
4.  In the U.S. economy net tax revenues (tax revenues minus government transfer payments) are not a fixed amount or lump sum; they increase as the GDP rises and decrease as the GDP falls.
  • This net tax system serves as a built-in stabilizer of the economy because it reduces purchasing power during periods of inflation and expands purchasing during periods of recession.
    1. As GDP increases the average tax rates will increase in progressive systems remain constant in proportional systems and decrease in regressive systems; there is more built-in stability for the economy in progressive tax systems.
    2. (Built-in stabilizers can only reduce and cannot eliminate economic fluctuations.
  • The full-employment budget is a better index than the actual budget of the direction of government fiscal policy because it indicates what the Federal budget deficit or surplus would be if the economy were to operate at full employment. In the case of a budget deficit the full employment budget
    1. removes the cyclical portion that is produced by swings in the business cycle and
    2. reveals the size of the structural deficit indicating how expansionary fiscal policy was that year.
    3. Historical comparisons between the actual budget and full-employment budget show which years the discretionary fiscal policy has been expansionary in recent decades.
  • The large annual deficit the United States has experienced since the 1980s has led to calls for a balanced-budget amendment. In its strict form this amendment would eliminate the use of discretionary fiscal policy to counter recessions and would be contractionary at a time when expansionary fiscal policy is needed.
5 Certain problems criticisms and complications arise in enacting and applying fiscal policy.
  • There will be problems of timing because it requires time to recognize the need for fiscal policy to take the appropriate steps in the Congress and for the action taken there to affect output employment and the rate of inflation in the economy.
  • There will also be political problems because
    1. the economy has goals other than full employment and stable prices
    2. the fiscal policies of state and local government run counter to Federal fiscal policy
    3. there is an expansionary bias (for budget deficits and against surpluses)
    4. there may be a political business cycle (if politicians lower taxes and increase expenditures before and then do the opposite after elections).
  • An expansionary fiscal policy may by raising the level of interest rates in the economy reduce (or crowd out) investment spending and weaken the effect of the policy on real GDP; but this crowding-out effect may be small and can be offset by an expansion in the nation’s money supply.
  • The effect of an expansionary fiscal policy on the real GDP will also be weakened to the extent that it results in a rise in the price level (inflation). Aggregate demand and aggregate supply curves can be used to show how crowding out and inflation weaken the effects of an expansionary fiscal policy on real GDP.
  • The connection of the domestic economy to a world economy means that fiscal policy may be inappropriate or less effective because of aggregate demand shocks from the world economy or a net export effect that counteracts or reinforces domestic fiscal policy.
  • But an expansionary fiscal policy that includes a reduction in taxes (tax rates) may by increasing aggregate supply in the economy expand real GDP (and employment) and reduce inflation. Many economists however are skeptical about these supply-side effects.

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