One of the first economists to develop a theory of economic growth was
Joseph Schumpeter (1883-1950). Known by his family and friends as Jozsi
(pronounced Yoshi), Schumpeter was born in the Austrian province of Moravia
(now part of the Czech Republic). He studied law and economics at the
University of Vienna and went on to practice law and teach political economy.
He also worked briefly as the minister of finance of the Austrian Republic
in 1919. In 1932 he joined the economics faculty at Harvard, where he
taught until his death. Schumpeter also has the distinction of being the
first foreign-born president of the American Economic Association.
Schumpeter argued that innovation was the key to growth, and that the
entrepreneur was central to the process of innovation. Schumpeter recognized
that innovation goes beyond invention. Invention creates new technology,
but innovation applied it to the production and distribution of goods
and services. Invention alone, according to Schumpeter, is not sufficient
to spur economic growth.
In
the late 1940s, Sir Roy Harrod (1900-1978) and Evsey Domar (1914-1997),
working independently, contributed to what is now referred to as the Harrod-Domar
growth model. Building on a Keynesian framework of analysis, Harrod and
Domar emphasized the role of investment in economic growth. They identified
that on one side, investment expands productive capacity. On the other
side, it also generates demand for output. Balanced growth (defined as
the growth rate compatible with long-run full employment) occurs when
the change in production capacity equals the change in demand resulting
from the investment. While they identified the condition that would create
balanced growth, Harrod and Domar were not convinced that the economy
would automatically move toward that condition.
Someone who did believe that the economy would self-correct to maintain
full employment was Robert Solow (b. 1924). Solow argued that there exists
a rate of investment, which he called balanced investment, that
keeps the growth of the capital stock equal to the growth of the labor
force. If actual investment exceeds balanced investment, the amount of
capital per worker will grow until it reaches a level consistent with
full employment – what Solow called the steady-state point.
Solow has had a distinguished career. After receiving his Ph.D. from
Harvard in 1951, he went on to teach at MIT, where he has remained ever
since. He has at times worked with Paul Samuelson, their most famous joint
effort being the application of the Phillips curve to the U.S. economy.
For his work on growth theory, Solow won the Nobel Prize in 1987.
Schumpeter and Solow developed more general theories of economic growth.
Other economists focused specifically on economic growth in developing
nations. Among them was Ragnar Nurske (1907-1959), an Estonian who argued
that poor nations remained poor because of a "vicious circle of poverty."
Poor nations often have a malnourished workforce and insufficient saving
to invest in modern technology. The lack of human and physical capital
results in low labor productivity, preventing the economic growth that
could bring these nations out of poverty.
Two others known for their work on growth in developing nations were
Arthus Lewis (1915-1991) and Theodore Schultz (1902-1998), who shared
the Nobel Prize in economics in 1979. Lewis developed the two-sector model,
which divided the economy into a rural subsistence sector and an urban
industrial sector. Lewis argued that surplus labor from the rural sector
could be moved to the urban sector to fuel the development of industry
and economic growth. Schultz focused on investment in human capital (the
acquisition of skills and knowledge, or improvements in health, for example)
as a means for poorer nations to develop and grow.